The National Debt Podcast with Fexingo: Treasury, Borrowing, and Long-Term Fiscal Outlook

The National Debt Podcast with Fexingo: Treasury, Borrowing, and Long-Term Fiscal Outlook podcast cover
Fexingo Economics

The National Debt Podcast with Fexingo: Treasury, Borrowing, and Long-Term Fiscal Outlook

Lucas and Luna examine the mechanics of national debt, Treasury issuance, and long-term fiscal sustainability through the lens of current market data and historical precedent. Each episode starts from a fresh figure — a yield curve inversion, a CBO long-term projection, an auction bid-to-cover ratio — and follows the chain of cause and effect: what that number means for government borrowing costs, for private investment, for the dollar's reserve status, and for the trade-offs policymakers face between growth and solvency. The conversations move from a specific data point into the institutional structures that govern federal finance: the role of the primary dealer system, the strategic importance of the foreign holder base, the interaction between Fed rate decisions and debt servicing costs, and the political economy of deficit politics. Lucas brings the journalistic discipline of calling a trend by its real-world name — 'that's not an infrastructure investment, it's a transfer payment dressed in hard hats' — while Luna tests assumptions with practical questions: 'If the term premium is rising because of supply saturation, at what point does the auction fail, and what happens then?' The listener is treated as someone who already understands compound interest, present value, and basic macro, and wants to know how the machinery actually works. No party allegiances, no policy cheerleading — just the arithmetic of a nation's balance sheet and the implications for asset prices, inflation, and the next generation's tax burden. Can a country with a debt-to-GDP ratio above 100% still borrow at 4% without crowding out private investment, and where is the actual limit?

#NationalDebt#TreasuryMarket#FederalReserve#FiscalPolicy#LongTermOutlook#Deficit#YieldCurve#DebtToGDP#BondMarket#PrimaryDealers#AuctionMechanics#DOLLAR#Inflation#CentralBanking#Economics#FexingoBusiness#BusinessPodcast#FiscalSustainability

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Episodes

143 episodes

Why Foreign Demand for US Debt Is Cooling

Aug 1, 2026 · 9:22
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How Slower Growth Makes the National Debt Harder to Manage

Jul 30, 2026 · 6:57
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How the Fed's Balance Sheet Runoff Is Reshaping Treasury Borrowing

Jul 30, 2026 · 9:59
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How the Treasury's Refinancing Cliff Is Driving Up Interest Costs

Jul 29, 2026 · 6:20
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How the Fed's Interest on Reserves Adds to the National Debt

Jul 29, 2026 · 4:53
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How Tariff Uncertainty Is Driving Foreign Buyers Away from US Treasuries

Jul 28, 2026 · 7:15
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How the Term Premium Is Driving Up National Debt Costs

Jul 28, 2026 · 6:07
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Why the National Debt Hits 39 Trillion Despite a Smaller Deficit

Jul 27, 2026 · 4:57
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What the Yield Curve Spread Tells Us About the National Debt

Jul 27, 2026 · 9:13
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How Trump's Global Tariff Reshapes the National Debt Math

Jul 26, 2026 · 9:39
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The Fed's Three Key Phrases and What They Mean for the Debt

Jul 26, 2026 · 6:26
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Why a Smaller Deficit Does Not Lower Interest Costs

Jul 25, 2026 · 8:07
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How Import Prices From China Are Reshaping the National Debt

Jul 24, 2026 · 6:21
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How Interest Costs Are Reshaping Federal Budget Math

Jul 23, 2026 · 6:24
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How 30-Year Treasury Yields Above 5% Reshape the Deficit Forever

Jul 23, 2026 · 7:13
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How Rising Insurance Premiums Are Adding to the National Debt

Jul 22, 2026 · 7:53
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Why the Short End of the Yield Curve Matters Now

Jul 22, 2026 · 8:30
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How the 30-Year Yield at 5 Percent Locks In Higher Borrowing Costs

Jul 21, 2026 · 10:09
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How Import Costs from China Are Adding to the National Debt

Jul 21, 2026 · 8:53
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How Import Prices From China Are Adding to the National Debt

Jul 20, 2026 · 9:17
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How Hormuz Hostilities Are Reshaping the National Debt Math

Jul 20, 2026 · 7:28
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How the World Cup Boosted Bars But Not the Deficit

Jul 19, 2026 · 7:59
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How Inflation Is Quietly Eroding the Real Value of US Debt

Jul 19, 2026 · 10:40
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How China's Slowdown Is Reshaping the US Debt Picture

Jul 18, 2026 · 8:35
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How Spiking Insurance Premiums Are Adding to the National Debt

Jul 18, 2026 · 9:05
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Why the 30 Year Yield at 5 Percent Changes the Debt Math

Jul 17, 2026 · 9:24
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How Wholesale Deflation Changes the National Debt Math

Jul 17, 2026 · 9:09
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How Wholesale Deflation Changes the National Debt Math

Jul 16, 2026 · 9:39
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How Foreign Holders Are Rethinking US Treasury Bonds

Jul 16, 2026 · 10:17
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How the 5 Percent 30-Year Yield Reshapes Mortgage Markets and Fiscal Policy

Jul 15, 2026 · 10:18
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How the 10-2 Yield Spread Returning to 40 Basis Points Changes the Debt Picture

Jul 15, 2026 · 7:37
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How Foreign Holders of US Debt Are Changing Their Buying Patterns

Jul 14, 2026 · 11:19
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How Rising Deficits Are Reshaping the Bond Market

Jul 14, 2026 · 8:32
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The Steepening Yield Curve and Fiscal Lock-In

Jul 13, 2026 · 9:28
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Why the 30-Year Treasury Yield at 5 Percent Changes Everything

Jul 13, 2026 · 9:03
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How the 30-Year Yield at 5 Percent Reshapes the Deficit Debate

Jul 12, 2026 · 9:43
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How Interest on the Debt Surpassed All Federal Discretionary Spending

Jul 12, 2026 · 10:18
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How Funflation Is Raising the Cost of Staying Home

Jul 11, 2026 · 8:17
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Long Bond at 5 Percent Reshapes the Deficit Debate

Jul 11, 2026 · 10:14
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How the 30-Year Yield at 5 Percent Changes the Debt Math

Jul 10, 2026 · 10:00
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Why the Yield Curve Is Steepening Again and What It Means for the Debt

Jul 10, 2026 · 10:38
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How Treasury Auction Sizes Shape the National Debt Story

Jul 9, 2026 · 9:01
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How the Long End of the Curve Drives Debt Costs

Jul 9, 2026 · 9:25
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How the Treasury Manages $39 Trillion in Debt

Jul 8, 2026 · 9:14
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The 30-Year Treasury at 5 Percent and the National Debt Spiral

Jul 8, 2026 · 9:39
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The 30-Year Treasury at 5 Percent and the National Debt Spiral

Jul 7, 2026 · 9:46
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How the 30-Year Treasury Yield Near 5% Strains the National Debt

Jul 7, 2026 · 8:51
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How a Shrinking Trade Deficit Is Changing the National Debt Picture

Jul 6, 2026 · 7:18
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How Rising Rates Are Driving Up the National Debt Faster

Jul 6, 2026 · 9:04
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The Rising Cost of Rolling Over $39 Trillion in Debt

Jul 5, 2026 · 8:49
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How the Labor Force Drop Makes Debt Harder to Manage

Jul 5, 2026 · 6:31
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Why the National Debt Is Growing Despite a Cooling Job Market

Jul 4, 2026 · 7:59
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Why the Labor Force Drop Makes the Debt Harder to Manage

Jul 4, 2026 · 8:26
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Why the Yield Curve Uninversion Isnt Good News for the Debt

Jul 3, 2026 · 6:17
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How the Job Market Slowdown Reshapes the National Debt Equation

Jul 3, 2026 · 8:59
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How Foreign Treasury Selling Is Changing the Bond Market

Jul 2, 2026 · 8:43
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How Foreign Holders Are Quietly Selling US Treasuries

Jul 2, 2026 · 9:24
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How the National Debt Keeps Growing Even with Smaller Deficits

Jul 1, 2026 · 6:39
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Why the National Debt Clock Keeps Ticking Despite a Smaller Deficit

Jul 1, 2026 · 8:13
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How Debt-to-GDP Breaks 122 Percent and Why It Matters

Jun 30, 2026 · 8:14
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How Rising Interest Costs Reshape the National Debt Math

Jun 30, 2026 · 6:50
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Why the National Debt Is Growing Faster Than the Deficit Suggests

Jun 29, 2026 · 9:32
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How the Rising Interest on Reserves Is Quietly Driving Up the National Debt

Jun 29, 2026 · 8:58
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How the Fed's Interest on Reserves Is Quietly Driving Up the National Debt

Jun 28, 2026 · 10:03
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How Treasury Bill Issuance Is Changing the Debt Maturity Profile

Jun 28, 2026 · 9:46
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How the Fed Uses the Interest on Reserve Balance Rate to Manage National Debt Cost

Jun 27, 2026 · 9:23
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How Rising Interest on Reserves Is Quietly Growing the National Debt

Jun 27, 2026 · 7:43
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How the Shrinking Deficit Hides a Rising Interest Burden

Jun 26, 2026 · 8:40
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How the Shrinking Deficit Masks the Growing Interest Burden

Jun 26, 2026 · 7:47
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How the Fed Is Paying Banks to Borrow Its Own Money

Jun 25, 2026 · 8:31
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How the National Debt Arithmetic Is Changing as Yields Drop

Jun 25, 2026 · 9:23
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How the Shrinking Deficit Masks a Growing Debt Problem

Jun 24, 2026 · 7:43
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How the Shrinking Deficit Masks a Growing Debt Problem

Jun 24, 2026 · 10:00
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Why the Federal Deficit Is Shrinking Without a Budget Deal

Jun 23, 2026 · 9:39
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Why the Yield Curve Is No Longer Inverted and What It Means

Jun 23, 2026 · 7:44
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How Inflation Adjusts the National Debt Downward

Jun 22, 2026 · 11:13
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Why the Three-Month Yield Is the Most Important Number in the Debt Story

Jun 22, 2026 · 7:22
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Why the 30-Year Yield Is Stuck Near 5 Percent and What It Means for Borrowing

Jun 21, 2026 · 7:25
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Why the 10-Year-2-Year Spread Matters More Than the Debt Total

Jun 21, 2026 · 7:22
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Why the Fed Is Now Paying Banks to Borrow Its Money

Jun 20, 2026 · 10:05
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How the 30-Year Yield Near 5 Percent Reshapes Federal Borrowing Costs

Jun 20, 2026 · 8:55
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How the Fed's New Tool Changed the Debt Game

Jun 19, 2026 · 9:34
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Why Kevin Warsh's First Fed Meeting Reshapes the Debt Arithmetic

Jun 19, 2026 · 7:36
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Why Kevin Warsh Inherits a Different Debt Problem Than Yellen Did

Jun 18, 2026 · 7:49
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How the Fed's New Chair Is Reshaping National Debt Arithmetic

Jun 18, 2026 · 7:14
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How Foreign Demand for US Debt Is Shrinking

Jun 17, 2026 · 9:16
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How a Flat Yield Curve Strains the National Debt Arithmetic

Jun 17, 2026 · 6:11
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How the 30 Year Yield Near 5 Percent Is Reshaping Federal Borrowing

Jun 16, 2026 · 7:56
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How Debt Service Costs Are Squeezing the Federal Budget

Jun 16, 2026 · 5:47
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How the Federal Deficit Shrank by Forty Billion Dollars

Jun 15, 2026 · 7:47
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How Rising Debt Service Costs Squeeze Federal Spending

Jun 15, 2026 · 7:49
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How the ECB Rate Hike Reshapes US National Debt Arithmetic

Jun 14, 2026 · 6:10
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How the ECB Rate Hike Reshapes US National Debt Arithmetic

Jun 14, 2026 · 6:50
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How the 30-Year Yield Near 5 Percent Is Reshaping Federal Borrowing

Jun 13, 2026 · 9:37
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How the Debt-to-GDP Ratio Hit 122.6 Percent

Jun 13, 2026 · 9:22
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How the 30-Year Yield at 5 Percent Reshapes Mortgage Markets

Jun 12, 2026 · 7:35
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How ECB Rate Hikes Reshape US National Debt

Jun 12, 2026 · 11:33
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How Wholesale Inflation Reshapes the National Debt Arithmetic

Jun 12, 2026 · 10:22
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How the ECB Rate Hike Changes the US Debt Picture

Jun 11, 2026 · 7:35
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How Inflation Is Changing the Debt Arithmetic

Jun 11, 2026 · 12:45
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How Inflation Is Reshaping the National Debt Arithmetic

Jun 10, 2026 · 9:28
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Why the 3-Month Yield Is Trapped Below the 10-Year

Jun 10, 2026 · 7:34
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How Long-Term Unemployment Is Adding Trillions to the Debt

Jun 9, 2026 · 8:31
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How the 30-Year Yield at 5 Percent Reshapes Mortgage Markets

Jun 9, 2026 · 7:18
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How Long-Term Unemployment Is Reshaping Federal Debt Projections

Jun 8, 2026 · 6:57
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Why the Yield Curve Inversion Is Persisting Despite Fed Cuts

Jun 8, 2026 · 8:22
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Why Treasury Borrowing Is Stuck at the Short End

Jun 7, 2026 · 9:36
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How the 10-2 Yield Spread Signals Rising Fiscal Risk

Jun 7, 2026 · 9:28
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Why Long-Term Unemployment Is Raising the National Debt

Jun 6, 2026 · 8:25
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Why Treasury Is Stuck Borrowing at the Front of the Curve

Jun 6, 2026 · 8:30
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How the 3-Month Yield Is Breaking the Curve

Jun 5, 2026 · 10:45
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Why Long-Term Unemployment Is a Hidden Fiscal Time Bomb

Jun 5, 2026 · 7:30
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Why the Fed Rate Is Not Controlling Long-Term Borrowing Costs

Jun 4, 2026 · 7:57
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The 30-Year Yield at 5 Percent and What It Means for Borrowing

Jun 4, 2026 · 12:25
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US Debt Hits Record Despite Strong Jobs and Tariff Talks

Jun 3, 2026 · 7:59
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What the 10-2 Yield Spread Tells Us About Fiscal Risk

Jun 3, 2026 · 8:39
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Why Treasury Auctions Are Signaling a Structural Shift

Jun 2, 2026 · 8:07
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How the Federal Debt Is Reshaping the Bond Market Structure

Jun 2, 2026 · 9:25
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How the Iran War Is Adding 450 Dollars to Every Households Yearly Energy Bill

Jun 1, 2026 · 8:19
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What 38.5 Trillion in Debt Means for Borrowing Costs

Jun 1, 2026 · 7:14
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Deficit Shock and the Rising Cost of War

May 31, 2026 · 7:36
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How War and Energy Costs Are Reshaping Treasury Borrowing

May 31, 2026 · 7:44
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Why Interest Costs Are Crowding Out Federal Investment

May 30, 2026 · 9:20
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Why the National Debt Clock Is Accelerating Past 38 Trillion Dollars

May 30, 2026 · 7:53
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Why the 30-Year Treasury Yield Is Above 5 Percent

May 29, 2026 · 7:52
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How Foreign Buyers Are Pulling Back From US Treasuries

May 29, 2026 · 7:31
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Why the National Debt Clock Is Running Faster Than You Think

May 28, 2026 · 8:50
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Why the Treasury Is Stuck With Higher Long-Term Borrowing Costs

May 28, 2026 · 10:13
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Why the Long End of the Curve Is Sending a Fiscal Warning

May 27, 2026 · 8:51
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Debt Service Is Eating the Federal Budget

May 27, 2026 · 10:16
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Why the Treasury Is Selling More Long-Term Debt Now

May 26, 2026 · 8:54
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Consumer Sentiment and the National Debt Connection

May 26, 2026 · 8:44
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Why the Treasury Is Borrowing at the Short End and Paying for It

May 25, 2026 · 8:23
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Why Treasury Auction Demand Is Telling Us Something Uncomfortable

May 25, 2026 · 9:31
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How Consumer Sentiment Affects Bond Yields

May 24, 2026 · 7:59
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Why the Treasury Is Borrowing More as Rates Stay High

May 24, 2026 · 10:56
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Why the Yield Curve Re-steepening Matters for Borrowers Now

May 23, 2026 · 8:37
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The Yield Curve Is Back But Nobody Is Celebrating

May 23, 2026 · 7:40
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The Interest on the National Debt Has Become the Fastest Growing Budget Item

May 22, 2026 · 7:48
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Why Short-Term Debt Is Becoming a Long-Term Problem

May 22, 2026 · 9:20
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How the Fed Funds Rate Cant Escape the 3.6 Percent Trap

May 21, 2026 · 11:07
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The Bond Vigilantes Are Back and the Fed Is Listening

May 21, 2026 · 5:40
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Why the Thirty-Year Treasury Hit Five Percent Again

May 19, 2026 · 7:44
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